“Will the September US jobs report (released Oct 2 at 8:30 AM ET) show nonfarm payrolls above 100,000?” on Delphi

Back to Markets

Will the September US jobs report (released Oct 2 at 8:30 AM ET) show nonfarm payrolls above 100,000?

Active Market

Economics

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

Place a Trade

Trading unavailable in your region

Trading is not available in your region. You can still request forecasts and review market data.

Market Probability Chart

Yes

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Trade History

0 trades

Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Sep 30, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC

Trading Closes:Oct 2, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC

Earliest settlement:Oct 2, 2026, 8:30 PM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BLS Employment Situation Summary for September 2026 — released strictly after 2026-09-30T15:19:31.115Z and at or before 2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z — reports total nonfarm payroll employment change for September 2026 as greater than 100,000. - "No": Wins if that same report — released strictly after 2026-09-30T15:19:31.115Z and at or before 2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z — reports total nonfarm payroll employment change for September 2026 as 100,000 or fewer (including zero or negative). Clarifications: - The figure used is the initial (first-print) total nonfarm payroll employment month-over-month change for September 2026 as published in the BLS Employment Situation Summary; subsequent revisions do not affect settlement.

Data Sources:

https://www.bls.gov/ces/https://www.bls.gov/

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created