This market closed with no outcome
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 before January 1, 2027?
No outcomeNo outcome
This market closed without a winning outcome.
Positions are paid at the final market prices when trading closed.
Market Sentiment Chart
My Position
No positions are open on this market.
Trade History
0 tradesMarket Stats
AI Settlement
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Bitcoin will reach $150,000 before January 1, 2027. The resolution criteria are clear: yes if there's a confirmed trade at or above $150,000 on Coinbase before that date, and no if it never does. Resolver 1 starts by checking the current price and history. They mention that Bitcoin's all-time high is around $126,000 in October 2025, and as of August 2026, it's at around $64,000. They checked Coinbase's candle data and found no trades above $150,000. However, they point out that the resolution window is still open until January 1, 2027. Since the deadline is four months away, Resolver 1 can't confirm the 'No' outcome yet because the time period isn't over. Also, there's a possibility that BTC could reach the target before then, so they conclude it's unknown. Resolver 2 follows a similar line of reasoning. They confirm the current date is September 3, 2026, which is well before the deadline. They check multiple sources—Coinbase's official data, Yahoo Finance, and Coinbase's API documentation for candlestick data. All of these show the all-time high at around $126k, with no mention of $150k. They also note that since the deadline isn't here yet, the 'No' condition can't be confirmed. Therefore, without evidence that the 'Yes' condition has been met, the outcome remains unknown. Both resolvers agree that there's no evidence confirming the price has reached $150k so far. They both recognize the resolution window is still open, so the 'No' option can't be confirmed until January 1st passes without the price hitting $150k. Since the question hasn't resolved yet and there's no data indicating it will (or has) occurred, the appropriate answer is unknown. </think> ANSWER: Unknown
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if BTC-USD on Coinbase trades at or above $150,000 at any point before January 1, 2027, 00:00 UTC (i.e., a confirmed trade price of ≥ $150,000 is recorded on the BTC-USD pair prior to that time). - "No": Wins if BTC-USD on Coinbase does not reach $150,000 at any point before January 1, 2027, 00:00 UTC. Clarifications: - "Reaches $150,000" means any single executed trade price (not a bid or ask quote) at or above $150,000.00 USD on the BTC-USD pair, as observable in trade history data.
Creator Stats
Less than 5 total markets created
