This market was automatically settled Aug 29, 2026, 3:31 AM UTC
Will Stellar (XLM) reach 1 USDT by the end of 2026?
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<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether Stellar (XLM) will reach 1 USDT by the end of 2026. The resolution criteria are based on the price on Binance at any point before or at the market's settlement time, which is 2026-08-28T19:01 UTC. Wait, but the market close is before the end of 2026. Wait, the market's settlement time is 2026-08-28, but the question is about the end of 2026. Wait, that seems contradictory. The market question asks if it will reach 1 USDT by the end of 2026, but the resolution criteria's settlement time is set to 2026-08-28. That might be an error in the criteria. Wait, but the user's question states that the market close is 2026-08-28, but the resolution criteria says "the market's settlement time." Maybe the settlement time is the same as the market close. That's a bit confusing. So the market closes on 2026-08-28, but the question is about the price reaching 1 USDT by the end of 2026. So there's a discrepancy here. If the market is closed on 2026-08-28, but the event is about the end of 2026, then the settlement time for the market is not the end of 2026. Wait, but the resolution criteria says "before or at the market's settlement time." Therefore, the actual resolution time is tied to the market's settlement time, not the end of 2026. So the market is closed on 2026-08-28, but the question is phrased as a prediction about 2026. There's a contradiction here. But the resolution criteria is the law. So regardless of the wording of the market question, the resolution criteria says the settlement time is 2026-08-28T19:01 UTC. Therefore, the market is resolved on that date and time. So the event is whether the price reached 1 USDT by that settlement time, not the end of 2026. So Resolver 1 correctly looked at the data up to the settlement time (2026-08-28) and found that the price never reached 1.00, hence resolving "No". Resolver 2 is confused because they think the resolution is about the end of 2026, which is later. But according to the resolution criteria, the settlement time is 2026-08-28. Resolver 2 points out the current time is 2026-08-29, but the market was already closed on the 28th, so any events after that are beyond the settlement time. So even though the market close is before the end of 2026, the resolution criteria defines the settlement time as 2026-08-28. Therefore, the correct analysis is Resolver 1's, because they applied the settlement time correctly. Resolver 2 is considering the end of 2026, which is outside the resolution window as per the criteria. So the answer should be 1 (No). </think> Resolver 1 correctly applies the resolution criteria, which binds the market's settlement time to 2026-08-28T19:01 UTC, not the "end of 2026" as stated in the market question. The criteria explicitly ties resolution to the market's settlement time, not the event's original phrasing. Resolver 1's data confirms XLM/USDT never reached 1.00 during the settlement window. Resolver 2 mistakenly extends the resolution period to the end of 2026, violating the stated criteria that limit evaluation to the market's closure date. ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the XLM/USDT spot price on Binance reaches or exceeds 1.00 USDT at any point before or at the market's settlement time. - "No": Wins if the XLM/USDT spot price on Binance has not reached 1.00 USDT at any point before or at the market's settlement time. Clarifications: - "Reaches" means the XLM/USDT last traded price on Binance spot equals or exceeds 1.00 USDT at any observed moment within the market's resolution window, not only at the precise settlement timestamp.
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