“Will Gyanesh Kumar no longer be Chief of the Indian Election Commission by end of October 2026?” on Delphi

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Will Gyanesh Kumar no longer be Chief of the Indian Election Commission by end of October 2026?

Active Market

Politics

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

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Market Probability Chart

Yes

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Trade History

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Oct 6, 2026, 8:11 AM UTC

Trading Closes:Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Earliest settlement:Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Gyanesh Kumar is confirmed to have ceased to hold the position of Chief Election Commissioner of India at any point strictly after 2026-10-06T08:00:38.948Z and at or before 2026-11-01T00:00:00.000Z, due to resignation, removal, death, or any other reason. - "No": Wins if Gyanesh Kumar continues to hold the position of Chief Election Commissioner of India through 2026-11-01T00:00:00.000Z, with no confirmed departure from the role during the window. Clarifications: - The settlement window runs strictly after 2026-10-06T08:00:38.948Z and at or before 2026-11-01T00:00:00.000Z. A departure counts only if it is officially confirmed to have occurred within this window.

Data Sources:

https://www.eci.gov.inhttps://www.pib.gov.in

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created