This market was automatically settled Sep 4, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC
Will Bitcoin exceed $79,000 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 3 Sep 2026?
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Yes
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Bitcoin will exceed $79,000 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on September 3, 2026. The market closed right at 23:45, and the current time now is the next day, September 4th. First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The "Yes" outcome requires the CoinGecko USD price for Bitcoin at that exact timestamp to be strictly over $79k. "No" is if it's $79k or less. Now, looking at the two resolver reports. Resolver 1 states the price was $81,242.50 at the exact time, which is above the threshold. They also note that surrounding ticks were around $81k to $81.3k, confirming the price was well over. Resolver 2 provides a more precise figure: $81,242.49618453167, which is almost the same as Resolver 1's number. They also mention the exact timestamp via the CoinGecko API, which matches the required time. Since both resolvers agree on the exact time and the price being significantly above $79k, the answer should be "Yes." I need to verify if there's any conflicting information. Both resolvers used the CoinGecko API, which is the specified data source. The numbers are very close, with Resolver 2 providing a slightly more precise decimal. The fact that they both point to the same conclusion and the difference is just in decimal precision (which is irrelevant for the comparison against 79k) means there's no actual conflict here. Also, the timing here is exactly at the required timestamp. The resolvers didn't refer to data after the market close, as the current time is after the market close date, but the event in question (price at 23:45) is on the same day. The market closed at 23:45, so any data from that exact time is valid. Since both resolvers agree and the evidence is solid, the answer is clearly 0 (Yes). </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for Bitcoin (BTC) at 2026-09-03T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $79,000. - "No": Wins if that same price is $79,000 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "bitcoin" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-03T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance BTC/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.
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