This market was automatically settled Sep 10, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Will Solana exceed $104 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 9 Sep 2026?
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<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Solana will exceed $104 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on September 9, 2026. The market closed right at the resolution time, which is 2026-09-09T23:45:00Z, and the current time is the next day. First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The "Yes" condition is if the price is strictly greater than $104 at that exact timestamp. The "No" condition covers $104 or below. The clarifications mention that CoinGecko's USD price for Solana's id is the governing figure, and if there's no exact tick, the last published value before or at that time is used. Also, exchange-specific prices aren't relevant here. Now, looking at the two resolvers: Resolver 1 states that the price at 23:45:00Z was $101.63, which is below $104, so they conclude "No" (option 1). They also mention the price at 23:40:00Z was $101.68, which might be context but the exact time is 23:45. Resolver 2 confirms that the exact timestamp 2026-09-09T23:45:00Z (which is 1788997500000 in milliseconds) has a price of $101.6341. They step through the criteria correctly, pointing out that CoinGecko had the exact timestamp recorded, and since the price isn't over $104, "No" is the answer. Both resolvers agree on the price at the exact time and the conclusion. The evidence they present is from CoinGecko, which is the specified data source. The price is clearly below the threshold, so there's no ambiguity. Even though the market closed when the event happened, the resolvers have provided authoritative data points that answer the question definitively. There's no mention of any issues accessing data sources or conflicting information. I don't see any conflicting reasoning here. Both resolvers used the same method to check CoinGecko's data at the exact timestamp. The fact that both agree on the price and the conclusion makes me confident that the answer is 1 (No). No need to consider UNKNOWN since the data is available and clear. Also, there's no indication that the event is ongoing or hasn't resolved yet. The timestamp is in the past, and CoinGecko's data is authoritative here. So, the final answer should be 1. </think> ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for Solana (SOL) at 2026-09-09T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $104. - "No": Wins if that same price is $104 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "solana" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-09T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance SOL/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.
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