“Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 by Christmas 2026?” on Delphi

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Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 by Christmas 2026?

Active Market

Crypto/Web3

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

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Market Probability Chart

Yes

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Trade History

0 trades

Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Sep 29, 2026, 10:19 PM UTC

Trading Closes:Dec 25, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC

Earliest settlement:Dec 25, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase trades strictly above $100,000 USD at any point strictly after 2026-09-29T22:09:04.625Z and at or before 2026-12-25T05:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase does not trade strictly above $100,000 USD at any point within the observation window. Clarifications: - The observation window opens strictly after 2026-09-29T22:09:04.625Z and closes at 2026-12-25T05:00:00.000Z. A single trade or last-traded price exceeding $100,000 USD at any moment within this window satisfies the "Yes" condition; the price must remain at or below $100,000 USD throughout the entire window for "No" to win.

Data Sources:

https://api.coinbase.com/v2/prices/BTC-USD/spothttps://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created