This market was automatically settled Sep 22, 2026, 8:02 AM UTC
Will Polkadot exceed $1.2 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 21 Sep 2026?
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Yes
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Polkadot (DOT) will exceed $1.2 on CoinGecko at exactly 23:45 UTC on September 21, 2026. The market closed right at that timestamp, so the resolution depends on the price at that exact moment. First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The "Yes" answer wins if the price is strictly greater than $1.2 at that specific time. The "No" answer is if it's $1.2 or below. The key here is the precise data from CoinGecko for the exact timestamp. Resolver 1 says there's a tick exactly at the target time. They report the price as $1.2073, which is over $1.2. They also mention surrounding ticks show the price was consistently above, so no ambiguity. Resolver 2 used CoinGecko's market_chart/range data and found the same timestamp with a price of approximately $1.20727, which is also above $1.2. Both resolvers agree on the outcome and use CoinGecko's data directly. Both reports provide exact figures from CoinGecko, which is the specified data source. The numbers they found are clearly over the $1.2 threshold. There's no conflicting information here. Since both resolvers are using the same authoritative source and their data matches, the answer should be "Yes". I don't see any issues with their methodologies, and the timestamps are correctly checked. The market's close time is exactly when the price is checked, so even though the current time is the next day, that doesn't affect the resolution because the data is already available. Therefore, the correct answer is 0 (Yes). </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for Polkadot (DOT) at 2026-09-21T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $1.2. - "No": Wins if that same price is $1.2 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "polkadot" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-21T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance DOT/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.
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