Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if, strictly after 2026-10-07T15:25:13.205Z and at or before 2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z, Democrats (including independents who caucus with Democrats) are projected or confirmed to hold 51 or more seats in the United States Senate for the 120th Congress, based on called races from the November 3, 2026 elections combined with seats not up for election. - "No": Wins if, strictly after 2026-10-07T15:25:13.205Z and at or before 2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z, Democrats (including independents who caucus with Democrats) are projected or confirmed to hold 50 or fewer seats in the United States Senate for the 120th Congress, based on called races from the November 3, 2026 elections combined with seats not up for election. Clarifications: - "Majority" means 51 or more of the 100 Senate seats. Seats not up for election in 2026 count toward each party's total using their pre-election affiliation. Independent senators who caucus with the Democratic Party count toward the Democratic total.