This market was automatically settled Aug 10, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC
Will the Senate pass the CLARITY Act before summer recess?
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No
<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is whether the Senate passed the CLARITY Act before summer recess. The resolution criteria specify that it's a YES if there's a final Senate floor vote between specific dates, excluding procedural motions. Resolver 1 says that while a cloture motion was filed, that's just procedural and sets up a vote for after the recess. They cite sources like CoinDesk and CryptoSlate, and note that the congress.gov record shows no final passage by the deadline. The conclusion is that the Senate didn't pass it. Resolver 2 checks the official Senate floor activity. They confirm that in August 2026, the Senate didn't pass the CLARITY Act. The cloture motion was on August 8, but that's a procedural step, not final passage. The pro forma session on August 10 is after the deadline. So Resolver 2 also concludes NO. Both resolvers agree. They provided authoritative sources (official Senate pages, reputable news outlets). The cloture motion is a procedural step per the criteria, which explicitly excludes it. The deadline is August 10 03:59 UTC, and the next session is after that time. So there's no passage within the window. Therefore, the answer should be 1 (No). </think> ANSWER: No
Resolves YES if the United States Senate holds and passes a floor vote on the CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, or its Senate companion/amended version) between 00:00 UTC August 4, 2026 and 03:59 UTC August 10, 2026 (11:59 PM EDT August 9, 2026), per the official legislative record at congress.gov. Committee votes, procedural motions, and House-only action do not count; only final Senate passage of the bill itself resolves YES. No qualifying Senate passage by the deadline resolves NO.
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