This market was automatically settled Sep 26, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Will Polkadot exceed $1.19 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 25 Sep 2026?
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Yes
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Polkadot (DOT) will exceed $1.19 on CoinGecko at exactly 23:45 UTC on September 25, 2026. The market closed right at that time, so the resolution depends on the price at that specific moment. Resolver 1 says yes. They mention that CoinGecko's minute-level data has a tick exactly at 23:45, and the price was approximately $1.2117. They also check the surrounding times, like 23:40, which was $1.2143, and 23:45 is lower but still above $1.19. So, that supports the "Yes" answer. Resolver 2 also reports a "Yes". They got the Unix timestamp for 23:45:00 UTC on that day, which is 1790379900000. Using the CoinGecko API, they found the exact price at that timestamp as $1.211748... which is definitely over $1.19. Both resolvers agree here. Looking at the resolution criteria, the key is CoinGecko's exact price at that moment. Both resolvers used the correct API and method. There's no mention of any issues with the data sources. The CoinGecko data is available, and both resolvers found the same outcome. Since both are authoritative and agree, the answer should be 0. No conflicting evidence here. The event has already occurred, so no need to wait. Both resolvers correctly interpreted the criteria, so final answer is 0. </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for Polkadot (DOT) at 2026-09-25T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $1.19. - "No": Wins if that same price is $1.19 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "polkadot" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-25T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then, whether CoinGecko's historical series for that day is minute-level or hourly (in the hourly case the 23:00 UTC point governs). - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance DOT/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.
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