“Will London top 20°C on Oct 2, 2026?” on Delphi

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Will London top 20°C on Oct 2, 2026?

Active Market

Miscellaneous

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

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Market Probability Chart

Yes

My Position

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Trade History

0 trades

Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Oct 1, 2026, 2:01 AM UTC

Trading Closes:Oct 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC

Earliest settlement:Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the recorded daily maximum temperature at London Heathrow Airport (EGLL) exceeds 20°C strictly after 2026-10-01T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the recorded daily maximum temperature at London Heathrow Airport (EGLL) does not exceed 20°C over that same interval. Clarifications: - The measurement window is strictly after 2026-10-01T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z; the relevant figure is the highest recorded hourly or daily-maximum temperature observation at EGLL within this window. "Tops 20°C" means any reading strictly greater than 20.0°C.

Data Sources:

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/observations/weather-extremeshttps://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created