“Will NVDA stock be lower on Dec 31, 2026 than it is on Oct 2, 2026?” on Delphi

Back to Markets

Will NVDA stock be lower on Dec 31, 2026 than it is on Oct 2, 2026?

Active Market

Finance

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

Place a Trade

Trading unavailable in your region

Trading is not available in your region. You can still request forecasts and review market data.

Market Probability Chart

Yes

My Position

No positions are open on this market.

Trade History

0 trades

Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Oct 2, 2026, 5:11 PM UTC

Trading Closes:Dec 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Earliest settlement:Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the official Nasdaq closing price of NVDA on December 31, 2026 (at or before 2026-12-31T21:00:00Z) is strictly lower than the official Nasdaq closing price of NVDA on October 2, 2026 (strictly after 2026-10-02T17:09:14.213Z and at or before 2026-12-31T21:00:00Z). - "No": Wins if the official Nasdaq closing price of NVDA on December 31, 2026 (at or before 2026-12-31T21:00:00Z) is equal to or higher than the official Nasdaq closing price of NVDA on October 2, 2026 (strictly after 2026-10-02T17:09:14.213Z and at or before 2026-12-31T21:00:00Z). Clarifications: - The reference price for October 2, 2026 is the official Nasdaq regular-session closing price for NVDA on that date. The reference price for December 31, 2026 is the official Nasdaq regular-session closing price for NVDA on that date. If either date is not a regular Nasdaq trading session, the most recent prior regular-session closing price is used.

Data Sources:

https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/nvdahttps://www.cnbc.com/quotes/NVDA

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created