This market was automatically settled Aug 15, 2026, 8:20 AM UTC
Will Bitcoin be above $64,500 on Binance at 7:59 PM EDT on August 14?
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<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user wants to know if Bitcoin will be above $64,500 on Binance at 7:59 PM EDT on August 14. First, I need to check the resolution criteria. The criteria specify that the price is based on the close price of the Binance BTCUSDT 1-minute kline that opens at 23:58 UTC (which is 7:58 PM EDT). This is because 7:59 PM EDT is the observation time, and the last full candle before that would be the one closing at 23:58 UTC. Wait, no, the open time is 23:58, so the close is 23:59 UTC? Wait, the 1-minute kline would open at 23:58 and close at 23:59, right? But according to the resolvers, the open time is 23:58, and the close price is from that candle. Let me make sure. The resolution criteria says the reference price is the close of the 1-minute kline with open time 23:58 UTC. So that candle ends at 23:59 UTC. Wait, but the observation time is 7:59 PM EDT, which is 23:59 UTC. So the last fully completed candle as of that time would be the one that ends at 23:59 UTC. Hmm, perhaps the resolver is correct in using the 23:58 open time. Maybe there's confusion here. Wait, the open time is 23:58, so it runs from 23:58 to 23:59. Therefore, the close price is the price at 23:59. But the market question is about 7:59 PM EDT, which is 2026-08-14T23:59:00Z. So the kline opened at 23:58 must be the last one before or at that time. So the criteria is correct in pointing to the kline with open time 23:58, which closes at 23:59. But the market is checking the price at 7:59 PM EDT (23:59 UTC), which is the same as the close of that kline. So the reference is correct. Now, looking at both resolver reports. Both resolvers 1 and 2 report the close price for that kline as 63,040.02 USDT. The threshold is strictly greater than 64,500.00. Since 63,040 is way below that, the answer should be "No", which is option 1. Both resolvers agree, and they both have validated the same data point through Binance's API. There's no conflicting information. The resolvers didn't mention any missing kline or downtime, so the normal case applies. Therefore, the market resolves to "No". </think> ANSWER: No
This market resolves based on the price of Bitcoin in USDT on the Binance spot market (BTCUSDT). The reference price is the close price of the Binance BTCUSDT 1-minute kline with open time 23:58:00 UTC on August 14, 2026 (7:58:00 PM EDT) — the last fully completed 1-minute candle as of the 7:59 PM EDT observation time. Resolves to "Yes" if that close price is strictly greater than 64,500.00 USDT. Resolves to "No" if it is equal to or less than 64,500.00 USDT. If the Binance API reports no kline for that minute (e.g., exchange downtime), the reference price is the close of the nearest preceding completed BTCUSDT 1-minute kline.
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