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AI Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if, strictly after 2026-10-01T18:10:54.054Z and at or before 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z, the US federal government formally acquires an ownership stake (equity, warrants, convertible instruments, or equivalent) in one or more of the top 5 leading US AI companies, as confirmed by official government announcements, SEC filings, or credible major news reporting. - "No": Wins if no such ownership stake is formally acquired by the US federal government in any of the top 5 leading US AI companies within the window strictly after 2026-10-01T18:10:54.054Z and at or before 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - The window for qualifying events is strictly after 2026-10-01T18:10:54.054Z and at or before 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z; only ownership stakes formally established within this window count. - "Top 5 leading US AI companies" refers to the five most prominent US-headquartered AI companies by market influence, valuation, or industry recognition at the time of the event — broadly understood to include companies such as NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet/Google, OpenAI, Anthropic, Amazon, Meta, and xAI, with the specific five determined by the resolver based on credible rankings contemporary to the event. - "Ownership stake" means a formal equity interest, warrants, convertible notes, or equivalent financial instrument giving the US government a direct ownership position; regulatory approvals, licensing agreements, contracts, grants, or investment by government-affiliated funds (e.g., pension funds) without a direct federal ownership claim do not qualify.
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Less than 5 total markets created
