This market was automatically settled Sep 27, 2026, 10:19 PM UTC
Will ETH outperform BTC between September 1–15?
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Yes
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user wants to know if ETH outperformed BTC between September 1 and 15, 2026. The resolution criteria are clear: it depends on the percentage price changes of both cryptocurrencies over that period as measured by CoinGecko. Resolver 1 provided the opening prices on September 1 and the closing prices at 23:00 on the 15th. They calculated the percentage changes: BTC dropped 3.70% while ETH dropped 2.85%. Since even a loss that's less severe counts as a greater percentage in this context because it's a negative compared to a more negative, ETH's change is greater.resolver 1 concluded that "Yes" is the answer, so option 0. Resolver 2 corroborated this with very precise data from CoinGecko, referencing the documentation on how the historical data is retrieved. They used the hourly data at 23:00 UTC as the closest point before the end of the period. Their calculations showed ETH at -2.8464% and BTC at -3.7009%, which again means ETH's percentage change is greater. They even did a cross-check using the next day's 00:00 UTC data, which also showed ETH outperforming. Resolver 2 also concluded with option 0. Both resolvers used the same data source, CoinGecko, and their numbers are almost identical. The slight differences in decimal places don't affect the conclusion. Both agree that ETH's loss is less than BTC's, making ETH's performance better over that period. There's no conflicting information here, and since CoinGecko is the designated source, their data is authoritative enough. They both followed the criteria correctly, using the opening and closing prices as per the rules. I don't see any issues in the reasoning. The key point is that even though both assets lost value, ETH's decline was less, so the answer is "Yes." Both resolvers provided enough evidence and their methods align with the resolution criteria. Therefore, the final answer should be 0. </think> ANSWER: Yes
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if ETH's percentage price change in USD from September 1, 2026 00:00 UTC to September 15, 2026 23:59 UTC is strictly greater than BTC's percentage price change in USD over the same period, as measured by CoinGecko USD prices for Ethereum and Bitcoin. - "No": Wins if ETH's percentage price change in USD from September 1, 2026 00:00 UTC to September 15, 2026 23:59 UTC is equal to or less than BTC's percentage price change in USD over the same period, as measured by CoinGecko USD prices for Ethereum and Bitcoin. Clarifications: - Percentage price change for each asset is calculated as: (closing price − opening price) / opening price × 100, where the opening price is the CoinGecko USD price at September 1, 2026 00:00 UTC and the closing price is the CoinGecko USD price at September 15, 2026 23:59 UTC. - If prices for both assets are identical in percentage terms (an exact tie), "No" wins.
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