This market was automatically settled Sep 5, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC
Will XRP exceed $1.41 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 4 Sep 2026?
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<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if XRP will exceed $1.41 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on September 4, 2026. The resolution criteria are clear: "Yes" if the price is strictly greater than $1.41 at that exact time, "No" otherwise. Now, the two resolver reports. Resolver 1 checked the CoinGecko USD price for XRP at the target time. They reported that at 2026-09-04T23:45:00Z, the price was $1.3995, which is below $1.41. They also noted that surrounding ticks from 23:15 to 23:45 were between $1.3967 and $1.3995, all under the threshold. Hence, they concluded "No" (option 1). Resolver 2 used the CoinGecko API's market_chart/range endpoint to get the exact price at 2026-09-04T23:45:00.000Z. Their data showed the price as approximately $1.39947, which is even slightly lower than Resolver 1's figure. They both agree that this is below $1.41, so the market should resolve "No." Testing the numbers: Both resolvers are in agreement here. The exact time-stamped prices from CoinGecko, as per the resolution criteria, are the key. Since both sources confirm the price was under $1.41, even if they differ slightly (1.3995 vs. 1.39947), both are below the required amount. There's no mention of any evidence being post-market or inaccessible, and the resolvers used credible sources (direct API and aggregate feed) which align. No conflict between the resolvers, so their shared answer of "No" is solid. The timestamps are correct according to the market question's criteria, and the data meets the requirement of being the last published value at or before the target time. Thus, the answer should be 1 (No). </think> ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for XRP (XRP) at 2026-09-04T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $1.41. - "No": Wins if that same price is $1.41 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "ripple" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-04T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance XRP/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.
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