This market was automatically settled Sep 12, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Will Polkadot exceed $1.11 on CoinGecko at 23:45 UTC on 11 Sep 2026?
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<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Polkadot (DOT) will exceed $1.11 on CoinGecko at exactly 23:45 UTC on September 11, 2026. The market closed at that exact time, so we need to check the price right then. Resolver 1 says the price was around $1.0357 at that time, which is below $1.11. They also mention that the price during the hour before was between $1.03 and $1.04. That's consistent. They conclude "No" because the price wasn't over $1.11. Resolver 2 references the CoinGecko API, specifically the market_chart/range endpoint. They found an exact data point at 23:45:00Z with a slightly more precise price of $1.035695... which is still under $1.11. They also agree that "No" is the correct outcome because the price is not strictly greater than $1.11. Both resolvers used the same data source, CoinGecko's API, and both found the price to be approximately $1.0357, which is significantly below the $1.11 threshold. They both correctly apply the resolution criteria that the price needs to be strictly greater than $1.11 for a "Yes" outcome. Since their findings align, there's a strong consensus here. I check if there's any possibility of a time zone error or a mistake in the data. The resolution criteria specify UTC, which both resolvers adhered to. They also used the exact timestamp as per the API. No discrepancies in their reasoning. Given that both resolvers independently verify the same result, and the data from the API is authoritative, the market should resolve to "No". There's no conflicting evidence or uncertainty here. I don't see any reason to doubt their findings. The answer is clear. </think> ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for Polkadot (DOT) at 2026-09-11T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $1.11. - "No": Wins if that same price is $1.11 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "polkadot" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-11T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance DOT/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.
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