“Will Anthropic IPO before Nov 30, 2026?” on Delphi

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Will Anthropic IPO before Nov 30, 2026?

Active Market

Finance

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

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Market Probability Chart

Yes

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Trade History

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Sep 30, 2026, 9:33 PM UTC

Trading Closes:Nov 30, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Earliest settlement:Nov 30, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Anthropic completes an IPO — defined as its shares beginning to trade on a public stock exchange following an effective registration statement — strictly after 2026-09-30T21:31:29.137Z and at or before 2026-11-30T00:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if no such IPO trading commencement occurs within the window described above. Clarifications: - The IPO is considered complete when Anthropic's shares first begin trading on a public exchange (e.g., Nasdaq or NYSE) under a ticker symbol, not merely upon filing or effectiveness of an S-1 registration statement.

Data Sources:

https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&company=anthropic&type=S-1&dateb=&owner=include&count=40https://www.nasdaq.com

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

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