This market was automatically settled Sep 1, 2026, 1:19 PM UTC
Will Bitcoin close August 2026 above $80,000?
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<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Bitcoin will close August 2026 above $80,000. The resolution criteria specify that it needs to be the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase at 23:59:59 UTC on August 31, 2026. So the key here is to check the exact price at that specific time. Resolver 1 says they checked the Coinbase data and found that the price at the end of the minute (23:59:59) was $78,562.74. Since that's below $80,000, they concluded with answer 1 (No). Resolver 2 also went through a similar process. They confirmed the same data point using both the 1-minute and daily candles from Coinbase, arriving at the same closing price of $78,562.74. Both resolvers used the same source, Coinbase, and their data aligns perfectly. The resolution criteria clearly state that the price must be strictly greater than $80,000 for a "Yes" outcome. Since both resolvers independently verified the closing price to be below that threshold, there's a concurrence in their findings. There's no conflict here, and the evidence they provided is directly from the specified data source. I don't see any reason to doubt the data they presented. Also, the current time is after the market close, but the evidence was obtained correctly, adhering to the timing rules. No other data sources are mentioned, but since the resolution criteria suggested Coinbase and both resolvers used it correctly, there's no need to look elsewhere. The event has clearly concluded as August 31, 2026 has passed, and the price is confirmed. Therefore, the market can be resolved definitively as answer 1 (No). </think> ANSWER: No
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase at 23:59:59 UTC on August 31, 2026 is strictly greater than $80,000. - "No": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase at 23:59:59 UTC on August 31, 2026 is less than or equal to $80,000. Clarifications: - "Close August 2026" is interpreted as the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase at 23:59:59 UTC on August 31, 2026 (the end of the last calendar day of the month in UTC).
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