No

<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking if Arbitrum's price on CoinGecko will exceed $0.2095 at exactly 23:45 UTC on September 28, 2026. The market closed at that exact time, so we need to check the price right then. Resolver 1 says the price was around $0.20123 at that time, which is below the threshold. They checked the surrounding ticks between 23:00 and 23:50 UTC and saw it never reached $0.2095. Therefore, they concluded "No" (option 1). Resolver 2 provides more detailed data. They used the CoinGecko API and found an exact entry at 2026-09-28 23:45:00 UTC with the price $0.20123442... which is definitely under $0.2095. They also confirmed the correct asset ID is "arbitrum" on CoinGecko. So Resolver 2 also picks "No" (option 1). Both resolvers agree on the answer. The evidence from both sources points to the same price being well below the required threshold. Since the price at the exact time specified in the resolution criteria was under $0.2095, the correct answer is "No." There's no conflicting information or uncertainty here. The market is resolved as "No." </think> Both resolvers confirm that the CoinGecko USD price for Arbitrum at 2026-09-28T23:45:00Z was approximately $0.2012, which is below the $0.2095 threshold. Resolver 1 and Resolver 2 independently verify this using CoinGecko data, including direct API queries and surrounding price ticks. The evidence is consistent, authoritative, and aligns with the resolution criteria. The market resolves "No" because the price was not strictly greater than $0.2095 at the specified time. ANSWER: No

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the CoinGecko USD price for Arbitrum (ARB) at 2026-09-28T23:45:00.000Z is strictly greater than $0.2095. - "No": Wins if that same price is $0.2095 or below. Clarifications: - The governing figure is CoinGecko's USD price for id "arbitrum" at that instant — the last published value at or before 2026-09-28T23:45:00.000Z if there is no tick exactly then. - CoinGecko is the measure. An exchange-specific pair such as Binance ARB/USDT can fall on the opposite side of the threshold.