“Will London's high temperature reach 22°C or more on Oct 3, 2026?” on Delphi

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Will London's high temperature reach 22°C or more on Oct 3, 2026?

Active Market

Miscellaneous

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

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Market Probability Chart

Yes

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Trade History

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Sep 30, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC

Trading Closes:Oct 3, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC

Earliest settlement:Oct 4, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the recorded high temperature in London reaches 22°C or above at any point strictly after 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-03T23:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the recorded high temperature in London remains below 22°C throughout the entire period strictly after 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-03T23:00:00Z. Clarifications: - "High temperature" refers to the maximum air temperature recorded at a standard official weather observation station serving central London (e.g., Heathrow EGLL, St. James's Park, or London City Airport EGLC) during the measurement window above, expressed in degrees Celsius.

Data Sources:

https://www.metoffice.gov.ukhttps://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created