This market was automatically settled Jul 30, 2026, 1:34 AM UTC
July 2026 FOMC Federal Funds Target Rate Decision
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Hold Target Rate Unchanged
<think> Okay, let's take a look at this market question. The user is asking about the July 2026 FOMC Federal Funds Target Rate Decision. The market closed on July 29th, and the resolution criteria depend on the official FOMC statement. Resolver 1 and Resolver 2 both provided detailed reports. Resolver 1 cited the official FOMC statement from July 29, 2026, which states that the rate was maintained at 3.50%–3.75%. They also mentioned the 9-3 vote, noting that even though three members wanted an increase, the majority decided to hold. Resolver 2 also referenced the same FOMC statement and compared it with the previous June meeting, confirming that the target range wasn't changed. Both resolvers agree that the rate remained unchanged. There's no conflicting information between the two reports. They both used the same official source (Federal Reserve's website) and other credible outlets like CNBC to back their conclusions. The key point is that the FOMC decided to maintain the rate, so the correct answer is "Hold Target Rate Unchanged," which is option 2. Since both resolvers are in agreement and their evidence is solid, there's no reason to doubt their conclusion. Also, the market close time is before the event's resolution time, but the evidence was published after market close, which is allowed as per the guidelines. No other answer options are supported by the provided evidence. Therefore, the final answer should be 2. </think> ANSWER: Hold Target Rate Unchanged
Resolution criteria: - "Increase Target Rate": Wins if the FOMC policy statement released at the July 28–29, 2026 meeting announces that the federal funds target range has been raised above its pre-meeting level of 3.50%–3.75%, as reported on the Federal Reserve's official website (federalreserve.gov). - "Decrease Target Rate": Wins if the FOMC policy statement released at the July 28–29, 2026 meeting announces that the federal funds target range has been lowered below its pre-meeting level of 3.50%–3.75%, as reported on the Federal Reserve's official website (federalreserve.gov). - "Hold Target Rate Unchanged": Wins if the FOMC policy statement released at the July 28–29, 2026 meeting announces that the federal funds target range remains unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, as reported on the Federal Reserve's official website (federalreserve.gov). Clarifications: - The determination is based solely on the target range for the federal funds rate as stated in the official FOMC policy statement; statements made during the Chair's press conference or other communications do not affect resolution. - An inter-meeting rate change announced before the July 28–29 meeting would update the pre-meeting baseline accordingly.
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