This market was automatically settled Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 AM UTC
Bitcoin (BTC) closing price above $65,000 on August 11, 2026?
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<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is about Bitcoin's closing price on August 11, 2026, specifically whether it was above $65,000 at 7:45 PM EDT. The resolution criteria point to CoinGecko as the source. Resolver 1 provides several data points. They mention that at 4:16 PM EDT (which is 20:16 UTC), Bitcoin was at $63,685.99 on CoinGecko, and by 2:28 AM EDT the next day (which is August 12, 2026, 08:28 UTC), it dropped to $63,588.52. The observation time is 7:45 PM EDT (23:45 UTC) on August 11. They interpolate that between these times, the price was between $63,600 and $63,700, well below the threshold. Resolver 1 concludes "No." Resolver 2 relies on CoinGecko's historical data page, which shows the close for August 11, 2026, as $63,538. They also note a live page showing around $63,672.84 shortly after, which is still below $65,000. They also conclude "No." Both resolvers agree on the answer. They both use CoinGecko as the source, which is explicitly named in the resolution criteria. The data from the historical close and the live data around the observation time show the price was under $65,000. There's no conflicting evidence here. Even though Resolver 1 estimated using the two closest timestamps, the CoinGecko close price from the historical data (Resolver 2) is a direct and more authoritative data point. Since both resolvers independently confirm the price was below the threshold, the answer should be "No," which is option 1. </think> ANSWER: No
This market resolves based on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) in USD as reported by CoinGecko (coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin) at 7:45 PM EDT on August 11, 2026. Resolves to "Yes" if the CoinGecko-reported BTC/USD price at the observation time is strictly greater than $65,000.00. Resolves to "No" if the price is equal to or less than $65,000.00. If CoinGecko is unavailable at the observation time, the price is taken from CoinGecko as soon as it becomes available thereafter, reflecting the closest available data point to 7:45 PM EDT on August 11, 2026.
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