“Will Trump visit Shenzhen before the end of 2026?” on Delphi

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Will Trump visit Shenzhen before the end of 2026?

Active Market

Politics

LMSR

Automated

Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

By: Delphi

By: Delphi • Leading outcome: 50.0% • 0 trades

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Market Probability Chart

Yes

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Market Stats

Trading Fee:2.00%

Liquidity:$0.00

Volume:$0.00

Created:Sep 30, 2026, 7:04 PM UTC

Trading Closes:Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC

Earliest settlement:Jan 1, 2027, 8:00 AM UTC

Settles within 48 hours of trading close.

AI Settlement

Analyst Models:Claude Opus 4.8, GPT 5.5

Judge Model:Qwen3 32B Verifiable (via REE)

Settlement Criteria:

Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Donald Trump makes a confirmed, in-person visit to Shenzhen, China, strictly after 2026-09-30T19:02:46.952Z and at or before 2027-01-01T00:00:00.000Z, as corroborated by credible news reporting or official government statements. - "No": Wins if no such confirmed, in-person visit by Donald Trump to Shenzhen occurs strictly after 2026-09-30T19:02:46.952Z and at or before 2027-01-01T00:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - A "visit to Shenzhen" requires Trump's physical presence within the city of Shenzhen. Stops at a Shenzhen airport without leaving the transit zone do not qualify. Visits to other cities in Guangdong Province do not qualify unless they are within Shenzhen's municipal boundaries.

Data Sources:

https://apnews.comhttps://www.reuters.com

Creator Stats

Creator:Delphi

Markets Created:0

Markets Settled:0

Total Volume (All Time):$0.00

Settle Percentage:0%

Less than 5 total markets created