This market was automatically settled Jul 27, 2026, 8:11 AM UTC
ARB vs OP: larger % price change on July 26, 2026?
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Arbitrum (ARB)
<think> Okay, let's tackle this. The market question is about whether ARB or OP had a larger percentage price change on July 26, 2026. Both resolvers reached the conclusion that it's ARB (option 0), but I need to check their reasoning. Resolver 1 couldn't get Binance data directly, so they used Coinbase and other sources. They noted that ARB had around a 11.8% increase over the 24-hour period, while OP's change was between +1% to +6%. The conclusion was based on the magnitude gap, even though they didn't have the exact Binance numbers. But they emphasized that the sources were consistent and ARB's volatility is higher. Resolver 2 actually found Binance data from specific sources. For ARB, the open was 0.0825 and close 0.0833, resulting in a 0.970% increase. For OP, they cited Investing.com and ChartExchange with changes of +0.54% and +0.65%, both lower than ARB's. Since Resolver 2 provided specific Binance data that aligns with the resolution criteria (using Binance's open and close prices), their evidence seems more directly relevant. Resolver 1's reliance on Coinbase data might be an issue because the resolution criteria specify Binance. However, Resolver 1 did mention that the Binance data was unavailable and used multiple corroboration sources. But Resolver 2's access to Binance's candle data gives more precise numbers. The key is the criteria require Binance's open and close prices. Even though Resolver 1 tried to find Binance data without success, Resolver 2 actually found it. Both resolvers agreed on ARB having a larger change, just different percentages. Since Resolver 2's data matches the required data source, their answer is stronger. So the final answer should be 0. </think> ANSWER: Arbitrum (ARB)
Resolution criteria: - "Arbitrum (ARB)": Wins if the absolute percentage price change of ARB/USDT on Binance over July 26, 2026 (UTC 00:00 open to UTC 23:59:59 close) is strictly greater than that of OP/USDT over the same period. - "Optimism (OP)": Wins if the absolute percentage price change of OP/USDT on Binance over July 26, 2026 (UTC 00:00 open to UTC 23:59:59 close) is strictly greater than that of ARB/USDT over the same period. Clarifications: - Percentage price change is calculated as |( close_price − open_price ) / open_price| × 100 for each token, using the daily open (00:00:00 UTC) and close (23:59:59 UTC) prices of the respective USDT pair on Binance on July 26, 2026. - If the two percentage changes are exactly equal, the market resolves to the outcome with the higher raw absolute price movement in USDT terms (i.e., |close_price − open_price|).
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